Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Kiira Road Police Arena (Kampala)


	Police		Express

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.04	3.07	3.45
	2.06	3.12	3.57	Watch
	1.97	3.2	3.59
	2.4	2.94	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.38)	3.09 ↑ (2.92)	3.37 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Police
43.4%

Draw
29.6%

Express
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

31%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Police's performance.

Express has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Police - Express Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Express (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Kasumba U. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Ssenoga M. K. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 1, Ikamba B. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 1.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
26.09.25	Police - Mbarara City	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	Kampala City Council - Police	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Police - Uganda Revenue Authority SC	2:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
22.04.25	Police - Kataka	0:1 penalties ✺
Ugandan Super League
16.04.25	Bul - Police	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLWLT
- Express FC
Ugandan Super League
26.09.25	Express - UPDF	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Bright Stars - Express	0:1 ✺
24.04.25	Express - UPDF	2:2 ✺
16.04.25	Mbale Heroes - Express	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Express - Vipers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
13.03.25	Express - Police	1:2
16.10.24	Police - Express	2:2
29.03.22	Express - Police	2:1
02.11.21	Police - Express	1:2
08.05.21	Express - Police	2:0
16.03.21	Police - Express	0:1

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