Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium-Kitende (Entebbe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uganda	Sanyuka TV


	Vipers		Police

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5.15
	1.54	3.69	5.28
	1.56	3.73	5.49	Watch
	1.53	3.5	5
	1.5	3.68	6.15
	1.5	3.6	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	3.62 ↑ (3.3)	5.4 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vipers
58.5%

Draw
24.8%

Police
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

25.2%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vipers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vipers's performance.

Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vipers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Vipers - Police Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vipers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Police (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vipers (votes: 2 - 50%). Police (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Karisa M. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Watambala K. ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, Chukwuma O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 1, Kyeyune S. ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, Usama A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Vipers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Vipers is a strong favorite.

We predict that Vipers will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vipers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vipers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Police	4	2	1	1	3:1	2	7
13	Vipers	2	1	0	1	3:1	2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Vipers - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 53.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vipers SC
Ugandan Super League
24.01.26	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Vipers	0:3 ✺
06.01.26	Vipers - Mbarara City	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Lugazi Municipal - Vipers	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Vipers - Bul	3:1 ✺
09.12.25	Calvary - Vipers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWT
- Police FC Kampala
Ugandan Super League
21.01.26	Police - Calvary	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Police - Kampala City Council	2:0 ✺
16.12.25	Bul - Police	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Lugazi Municipal - Police	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Police - Buhimba United Saints	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Super League
06.03.25	Police - Vipers	0:1
25.10.24	Vipers - Police	2:1
21.05.22	Vipers - Police	5:0
17.10.21	Police - Vipers	0:2
19.02.21	Vipers - Police	3:2

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