Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 9

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ushirika Stadium (Moshi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 1


	Polisi Tanzania		Pamba

	1	X	2
	1.98	2.95	3.60
	2.17	2.95	3.05
	2.2	2.76	3.72	Watch
	1.86	3.31	4.14	Watch
	1.89	3.10	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.54)	3.01 ↓ (3.86)	3.65 ↓ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polisi Tanzania
45%

Draw
30.1%

Pamba
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.3%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

22.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polisi Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polisi Tanzania's form might have worsened.

Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pamba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polisi Tanzania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pamba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polisi Tanzania - Pamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Nyakanda M. (G) 13. Balayazi J. 22. Evance F. 26. Jabiri A. 5. Majagi J. 33. Masai O. 10. Mtegeta J. 3. Mushi D. (C) 20. Mwambule B. 8. Mwambungu K. 45. Tariq S.	37. Richard D. (G) 3. Abraham I. 43. Bausi A. 42. Diomande I. 12. Kadikilo A. 30. Mayombya Z. (C) 27. Ndwangou N. 4. Okorocha N. 20. Oyugi Siwa S. 32. T. Lanso 14. Yonta Camara A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', 🟥,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 15th in the Relegation).

Polisi Tanzania has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Pamba is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Polisi Tanzania has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Polisi Tanzania holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Polisi Tanzania	9	3	3	3	12:11	1	12
14	Pamba	9	1	3	5	10:15	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisi Tanzania FC
Tanzanian Premier League
17.10.26	Kagera Sugar - Polisi Tanzania	1:1 ✺
08.10.26	Mashujaa - Polisi Tanzania	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Polisi Tanzania - Mbeya City	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Singida Black Stars - Polisi Tanzania	4:2 ✺
25.08.26	Dodoma Jiji - Polisi Tanzania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLWLW
- Pamba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
16.10.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Pamba	1:1 ✺
08.10.26	Pamba - Geita Gold	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Pamba - TRA United	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	JKT Tanzania - Pamba	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Young Africans - Pamba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL

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