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Current Win Probability
Kagera Sugar 35.6%
Draw 32.3%
Polisi Tanzania 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.8%
23.7%
51.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.4%
23.3%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagera Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kagera Sugar's performance.
Polisi Tanzania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polisi Tanzania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kagera Sugar that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisi Tanzania than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polisi Tanzania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kagera Sugar - Polisi Tanzania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
48. Oseja A. (G) 29. Evastus J. 5. Masanja J. 20. Mhilu D. 24. Milandu D. 10. Mvuyekule E. 13. Ndemla S. 14. Opiyo 47. Said M. 37. Yassin Y. 45. Yusufu M.
40. Chistopher 13. Balayazi J. 22. Evance F. 26. Jabiri A. 5. Majagi J. 33. Masai O. 10. Mtegeta J. 3. Mushi D. (C) 20. Mwambule B. 8. Mwambungu K. 45. Tariq S.
Substitutes
. Andrea . Eduche 19. Kazimoto N. . Kudo 3. Luhende C. . Momo . Ochieng . Salehe 11. Shaban N. 23. Sketo A.
2. Ame I. 27. Athuman R. 21. Cosmas T. . Juma M. . Kakolanya B. 11. Kibaya J. 19. Kunambi K. . Nassor H. 4. Robert T. . Ulomi D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagera Sugar won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kagera Sugar has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 0.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kagera Sugar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1:0.7 per game).
Africa
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Oseja A. (G) 
Opiyo 
Eduche 
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