The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Polisportiva Vastogirardi 33%
Draw 30%
Chieti 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
30.6%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
29.1%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polisportiva Vastogirardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).
Vastogirardi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chieti is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Chieti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Our prediction for today's Chieti to win the game is with odds 2.43.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Vastogirardi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Vastogirardi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.