Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Guido Angelini (Chieti)


	Chieti		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.62
	2.66	3.03	2.5
	2.74	3.04	2.5	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.6
	2.66	2.94	2.52
	2.66	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)	2.97 ↓ (3.41)	2.55 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chieti
34.2%

Draw
30.4%

Vigor Senigallia
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

26.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.8%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Vigor Senigallia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Chieti - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: ) and 8).

Chieti is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Vigor Senigallia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chieti won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Chieti won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Chieti - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.6%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chieti Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.12.25	Giulianova - Chieti	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	UniPomezia - Chieti	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Recanatese - Chieti	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Chieti - Castelfidardo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
07.12.25	Vigor Senigallia - Castelfidardo	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Atletico Ascoli - Vigor Senigallia	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Vigor Senigallia - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ancona - Vigor Senigallia	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vigor Senigallia - San Marino Calcio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
02.02.25	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:1
28.01.24	Vigor Senigallia - Chieti	1:1
01.10.23	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	2:0
15.01.23	Chieti - Vigor Senigallia	1:0

Chieti - Vigor Senigallia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide