Match Info

ROMANIA: Superliga - Round 21

Date: 23 December 2024, Monday

Location: Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu (Iaşi)

Referee: Vidican R. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1


	Politehnica Iași		FCSB

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.55	Watch
	5.75	3.75	1.53
	5.6	3.8	1.56
	6.02	3.86	1.6
	5.72	3.82	1.59	Watch
	5.5	3.6	1.6
	5.54	3.84	1.6	Watch
	5.6	3.8	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.62 ↑ (4.3)	3.78 ↑ (3.4)	1.57 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Politehnica Iași
16.5%

Draw
24.6%

FCSB
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

27.4%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

27.1%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Politehnica Iași has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Politehnica Iași's form might have worsened.

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting FCSB's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Politehnica Iași than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for FCSB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	15.6%	71.9%

Politehnica Iași - FCSB Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Poli Iași will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). FCSB will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 16.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FCSB: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Fernandez J. (G) 2. Umar M. 18. Ilie F. 42. Guilherme 33. Atanaskoski D. 5. Oum Gouet S. 80. Gheorghita A. 37. Bordeianu M. 10. Roman A. 20. Stefanovici S. 99. Tailson	32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 17. Popescu M. 5. Dawa J. 33. Radunovic R. 8. Sut A. 21. Chiriches V. 22. Toma M. 27. Olaru D. 7. Tanase F. 9. Birligea D.
Substitutes
1. Ailenei I. (G) 11. Gheorghe V. 98. Ilie V. 24. Marchioni J. 14. Miskovic R. 22. Niga T. (G) 57. Omrani B. 70. Popa D. 21. Tanasa M.	42. Alhassan B. 20. Colibasanu D. 11. Miculescu D. 30. Ngezana S. 28. Pantea A. 3. Pantiru I. 19. Popa D. 15. Stefanescu M. 1. Udrea M. (G)
Coaches
Sandoi E.	Charalambous E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Olaru D. ⚽, Sut A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Roman A. ↓, Marchioni J. ↑,
68', Bordeianu M. 🟨,
75', Stefanovici S. ↓, Gheorghe V. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Olaru D. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
81', Olaru D. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
81', Tanase F. ↓, Miculescu D. ↑,
90+1', Oum Gouet S. ↓, Popa D. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Politehnica Iași won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Politehnica Iași could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match FCSB is a favorite.

There will not play in Politehnica Iași: Ispas R. (Surgery) Samayoa N. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in FCSB: Baluta A. (Knee Injury) Lixandru M. (Injury) Popescu O. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Politehnica Iași won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19:29 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Politehnica Iași won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:14 (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSM Politehnica Iași
Romanian Cup
18.12.24	Politehnica Iași - Hermannstadt	0:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
13.12.24	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Politehnica Iași	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Politehnica Iași - Farul Constanța	2:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
05.12.24	Sănătatea Servicii Publice Cluj - Politehnica Iași	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
30.11.24	Gloria Buzău - Politehnica Iași	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTWL
- FCSB
Romanian Cup
18.12.24	FCSB - Universitatea Craiova	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
15.12.24	Farul Constanța - FCSB	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.12.24	Hoffenheim - FCSB	0:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
08.12.24	FCSB - Botoșani	2:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
05.12.24	Agricola Borcea - FCSB	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
17.08.24	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	0:1
19.12.23	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	1:3
20.08.23	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	2:1
30.01.21	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	3:1
27.09.20	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	5:2
03.12.19	Politehnica Iași - FCSB	1:2
18.08.19	FCSB - Politehnica Iași	1:2

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