Match Info

Betway Premiership - Round 13

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Old Peter Mokaba Stadium (Polokwane)


	Polokwane City		Mamelodi Sundowns

	1	X	2
	6.25	3.9	1.47
	6.7	3.75	1.48
	8.33	3.99	1.48
	6.18	3.63	1.54	Watch
	7.5	3.7	1.44
	7.41	3.71	1.5
	9.5	3.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.41 ↓ (7.64)	3.74 ↑ (3.4)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polokwane City
12.5%

Draw
24.8%

Mamelodi Sundowns
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12%

27.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

26.4%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polokwane City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polokwane City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Polokwane City (1.76) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Mamelodi Sundowns will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Polokwane City (votes: 1 - 25%). Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Mathebula L. (G) 2. Matuludi T. (C) 22. Ramaja E. 34. Nkaki L. 3. Nkwe T. 17. Dlamini B. 21. Kambala M. 14. Maphangule N. 6. Kelepu S. 7. Ramabu M. 29. Tshabalala S.	30. Williams R. (G) 25. Mudau K. 3. Ndamane K. 24. Cupido K. 6. Modiba A. 4. Mokoena T. 11. Allende M. 8. Adams J. 18. Zwane T. (C) 13. Rayners I. 38. Shalulile P.
Substitutes
47. Batlhabane M. M. 20. Daniels R. 42. Manthosi S. 10. Marema P. 35. Mnguni B. 31. Motsa S. 38. Nemutandani T. 60. Ngwenya A. (G) 25. Sebone K.	20. Kekana G. 43. Lethlaku K. 29. Lunga D. 17. Matthews T. 27. Morena T. 35. Mothiba L. 34. Ntsabeleng T. 1. Onyango D. (G) 14. Saleng M.
Coaches
Mohafe P.	Cardoso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Tshabalala S. ↓, Daniels R. ↑,
62', Shalulile P. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
62', Zwane T. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Allende M. ⚽, Mothiba L. (A),
66', Kelepu S. 🟨,
70', Maphangule N. ↓, Batlhabane M. M. ↑,
70', Kelepu S. ↓, Marema P. ↑,
72', Rayners I. ↓, Ntsabeleng T. ↑,
74', Mothiba L. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Modiba A. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
90+4', Dlamini B. 🟨,
90+5', Nkaki L. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polokwane City won 1.

In recent matches, Polokwane City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mamelodi Sundowns is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Polokwane City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mamelodi Sundowns has had a series of home games.

In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Polokwane City won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:33. (average 0.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Polokwane City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	8	6	2	0	19:7	12	20
11	Polokwane	7	1	4	2	8:10	-2	7

Last Results with these Odds

Mamelodi Sundowns - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.91%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polokwane City
South African Premier Soccer League
26.04.26	Polokwane City - Stellenbosch	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Polokwane City - Kaizer Chiefs	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chippa United - Polokwane City	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	TS Galaxy - Polokwane City	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Polokwane City - AmaZulu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWL
- Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League
26.04.26	Richards Bay - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch	1:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
18.04.26	Mamelodi Sundowns - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Espérance ST - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
South African Premier Soccer League
07.04.26	Durban City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

South African Premier Soccer League
06.11.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	2:0
27.10.24	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	1:0
South African MTN 8 Cup
11.08.24	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	1:0 ET
South African Premier Soccer League
30.12.23	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	0:0
30.08.23	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:2
South African Nedbank Cup
10.03.21	Mamelodi Sundowns - Polokwane City	4:0
South African Premier Soccer League
02.09.20	Polokwane City - Mamelodi Sundowns	0:3

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