Match Info

POLAND: Division 2 - Round 22

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Edwarda Szymkowiaka (Bytom)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Polonia Bytom		GKS Jastrzębie

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.5	7
	1.33	4.6	7.8	Watch
	1.38	4.6	8.05	Watch
	1.35	4.2	8
	1.32	4.55	8.2
	1.33	4.6	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.36)	4.51 ↓ (4.85)	7.81 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Bytom
68.1%

Draw
20.3%

GKS Jastrzębie
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

18.8%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

18.2%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Holewinski A. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 26. Barczak N. 25. Konieczny D. 30. Krzyzak O. 15. Kwiatkowski O. 8. Labojko M. 29. Piekarski A. 6. Scislak D. 9. Wojtyra K. 7. Zielinski L.	1. Drazik G. (G) 28. Czerwik J. 17. Fietz K. 31. Flak J. 47. Kargul-Grobla K. 11. Kiebzak S. 16. Piatek J. 4. Rogala S. 7. Sliwa M. 3. Szwiec D. 19. Zych K.
Substitutes
3. Michalski S. 19. Sarmiento J. 17. Steblecki S. 16. Stefanski P. 1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 4. Szywacz R. 22. Tomaszewski B. 28. Wypart O.	10. Ali F. 27. Jakuc O. 5. Kucharczyk P. 77. Madembo T. 22. Masiak K. 26. Oslizlo A. 98. Siga J. 12. Trojanowski J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Piekarski A. ⚽,
33', Konieczny D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kwiatkowski O. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
53', Szwiec D. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Wojtyra K. (Pen),
62', 🟨,
68', Scislak D. ↓, Wypart O. ↑,
70', Fietz K. ↓, Ali F. ↑,
70', Czerwik J. ↓, Siga J. ↑,
74', Flak J. 🟨,
75', Konieczny D. ↓, Szywacz R. ↑,
82', Rogala S. ↓, Madembo T. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Polonia Bytom is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Polonia Bytom won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 2.2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia Bytom won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 2
08.03.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Polonia Bytom	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Polonia Bytom - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.25	Polonia Bytom - Legia II	6:3 ✺
15.02.25	Polonia Bytom - GKS Bełchatów	3:0 ✺
25.01.25	Tatran Liptovský Mikuláš - Polonia Bytom	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWWWL
- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
08.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - GKS Jastrzębie	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.02.25	GKS Jastrzębie - LGKS 38 Podlesianka	2:1 ✺
05.02.25	Miedź Legnica 2 - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cracovia - GKS Jastrzębie	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.08.24	GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Bytom	2:4
Polish Cup
06.08.24	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0
Polish Division 2
08.03.24	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0
26.08.23	GKS Jastrzębie - Polonia Bytom	4:2
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	3:1
09.02.22	Polonia Bytom - GKS Jastrzębie	2:1

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