Match Info

Division 2 - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Jastrzebie-Zdroj)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	GKS Jastrzębie		Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.8	1.62
	4.73	3.85	1.63
	4.40	3.86	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.88	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.8	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (4.44)	3.84 ↑ (3.8)	1.63 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

GKS Jastrzębie
20.3%

Draw
23.7%

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

24.1%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

21.4%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

GKS Jastrzębie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biała Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Neugebauer B. (G) 22. Baranowicz B. 10. Gebala P. 15. Gromek W. 17. Koczy K. 3. Kriegler B. 6. Maszkowski S. 16. Mroczko S. 2. Tomal J. 4. Wybraniec N. 13. Zielinski B.	99. Branczyk S. (G) 4. Biernat M. 33. Bieronski B. 22. Gach K. 9. Gorski M. 6. Kizyma M. 17. Majsterek J. 7. Sitek M. 10. Szumilas W. 14. Urynowicz M. 11. Zawada O.
Substitutes
5. Bednorz K. 23. Bykowski M. 14. Gosciniarek K. 11. Jakuc O. 18. Kakolewski I. 9. Matysek S. 1. Molga M. (G)	24. Bednarski M. 3. Dziwniel D. 1. Forenc K. (G) 90. Klisiewicz L. 21. Kolanko K. 84. Martosz B. 13. Sciuk D. 98. Slomka W. 8. Takac D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Gach K. ⚽,
28', Mroczko S. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Tomal J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gebala P. ↓, Matysek S. ↑,
51', Sitek M. 🟨,
55', Wybraniec N. 🟨,
58', Bieronski B. 🟨,
58', Bieronski B. ↓, Sciuk D. ↑,
58', Zawada O. ↓, Martosz B. ↑,
58', Gorski M. ↓, Klisiewicz L. ↑,
64', Zielinski B. 🟨,
70', 1 - 2, Klisiewicz L. ⚽,
73', 🟨,
75', Zielinski B. ↓, Gosciniarek K. ↑,
77', Sitek M. ↓, Slomka W. ↑,
81', Urynowicz M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 0.

GKS Jastrzębie has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Podbeskidzie has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Podbeskidzie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Podbeskidzie is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, GKS Jastrzębie won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, GKS Jastrzębie won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GKS 1962 Jastrzębie
Polish Division 2
17.10.25	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	GKS Jastrzębie - KKS Kalisz	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała
Polish Division 2
22.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Swit Skolwin	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.25	Ružomberok - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	2:2 ✺
Polish Division 2
04.10.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Warta Poznań	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
08.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0
10.08.24	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1
Club Friendly
18.01.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Jastrzębie	2:0
25.03.22	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	1:1
Polish Division 1
20.03.22	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - GKS Jastrzębie	0:0
05.09.21	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:1
11.07.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:3

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