Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński		Legia II

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.5	1.49
	4.42	4.28	1.58	Watch
	4.8	4.5	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (3.52)	4.43 ↑ (4.23)	1.52 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
19.5%

Draw
20.6%

Legia II
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

21.6%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

21.1%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński's form might have worsened.

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Legia II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Legia II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Legia II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 0, Preuss W. ⚽,
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,
75', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Lidzbark Warmiński is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Legia II in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Legia II is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lidzbark Warmiński won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.04.25	Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wigry Suwałki	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wikielec	4:1 ✺
07.03.25	Broń Radom - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTTWL
- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
05.04.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	2:4 ✺
30.03.25	Legia II - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Legia II - Mławianka Mława	6:1 ✺
12.03.25	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Wikielec - Legia II	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
14.09.24	Legia II - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:2

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