Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday


	Mławianka Mława		Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	3.9
	1.93	4.4	2.92
				Watch
	1.94	3.99	3.28	Watch
	1.67	4	3.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.67)	4.07 ↑ (4)	3.5 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mławianka Mława
51.1%

Draw
22.6%

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

22.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', 2 - 0, ⚽,
67', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Mławianka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Lidzbark Warmiński has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mławianka is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mławianka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mławianka won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	Mławianka Mława - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Broń Radom - Mławianka Mława	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Warta Sieradz	4:0 ✺
21.05.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Mławianka Mława	3:3 ✺
17.05.25	Mławianka Mława - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWWTW
- Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński
Polish Division 3 - Group I
07.06.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Unia Skierniewice	2:0 ✺
30.05.25	ŁKS Łomża - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	2:3 ✺
24.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:3 ✺
21.05.25	Victoria Sulejówek - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	4:0 ✺
17.05.25	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Wisła Płock II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.03.25	Mławianka Mława - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	1:1
25.08.24	Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński - Mławianka Mława	2:4

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