Match Info

Date: 11 June 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Polonii (Warsaw)


	Polonia Warsaw		Legionovia Legionowo

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.65	3.45	4.6
	1.65	3.5	4.6
	1.63	3.5	4.67
	1.8	3.1	3.9
	1.66	3.68	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.92)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	4.51 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Warsaw
53.9%

Draw
26.2%

Legionovia Legionowo
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

25.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polonia Warsaw's performance.

Legionovia Legionowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legionovia Legionowo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Warsaw that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legionovia Legionowo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legionovia Legionowo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	15.8%	5.3%

Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo Predictions

Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Polonia won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Legionowo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Polonia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Polonia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.06.22	Wikielec - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
01.06.22	Polonia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź II	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Pelikan Łowicz - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
21.05.22	Polonia Warsaw - Broń Radom	3:0 ✺
14.05.22	Mamry Giżycko - Polonia Warsaw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWW
- KS Legionovia Legionowo
Polish Division 3 - Group I
04.06.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
01.06.22	Wissa Szczuczyn - Legionovia Legionowo	0:3 ✺
21.05.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Wikielec	2:1 ✺
14.05.22	ŁKS Łódź II - Legionovia Legionowo	4:2 ✺
11.05.22	Legionovia Legionowo - Pelikan Łowicz	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.11.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	1:1
29.05.21	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	5:1
18.04.21	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	3:3
29.08.20	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	0:0
12.05.19	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	1:0
22.09.18	Polonia Warsaw - Legionovia Legionowo	0:2
Polish Division 2
08.04.17	Legionovia Legionowo - Polonia Warsaw	0:0

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