The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ŁKS Łódź 36.7%
Draw 26.7%
Polonia Warsaw 36.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
28.1%
32.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.1%
28.5%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 2nd in the Promotion - Ekstraklasa).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 3.
In recent outings, ŁKS has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Polonia is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
ŁKS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, ŁKS has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:4 (averaging 1.7:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ŁKS against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 8:4 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Polonia Warszawa
12
6
3
3
19:14
5
21
4
LKS Lodz
12
6
3
3
15:11
4
21
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Polonia Warszawa: 8.98% LKS Lodz: 7.34%
Last Results with these Odds
ŁKS Łódź - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 39.5%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.