Match Info

Division 1 - Round 7

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app


	ŁKS Łódź		Polonia Warsaw

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.08	3.45	3.15	Watch
	2.13	3.65	3.32
	15.15	6.95	1.16	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3
	2.1	3.55	3.08
	2.1	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.1)	3.91 ↑ (3.45)	2.9 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
30.8%

Draw
29.4%

Polonia Warsaw
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

27.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ŁKS Łódź's form might have worsened.

Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ŁKS Łódź, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ŁKS will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. ŁKS (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 2. Loffelsend J. 6. Rudol S. (C) 22. Craciun A. 26. Ksiazek M. 10. Ernst S. 20. Wysokinski M. 30. Szczepanski M. 11. Norlin G. 99. Piasecki F. 19. Krykun S.	96. Kuchta M. (C) 99. Durmus I. 3. Salihu H. 4. Szur P. 5. Hoxhallari E. 16. Poczobut B. 17. Dadok R. 23. Skrabb S. 8. Wojciechowski O. 7. Vega D. 9. Zjawinski L.
Substitutes
7. Balic H. 12. Bomba L. (G) 28. Falowski K. 8. Hinokio K. 31. Jurkiewicz A. 21. Kupczak M. 90. Lewandowski M. 15. Mlynarczyk A. 24. Wziech M.	10. Bajdur M. 30. Cisse S. 26. Gnaase D. 21. Kapusta A. 11. Mlynski M. 44. Piotrowski B. 1. Sandach A. (G) 19. Vasin N.
Coaches
Grabowski S.	Pawlak M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Wojciechowski O. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Zjawinski L. ⚽, Salihu H. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ksiazek M. ↓, Lewandowski M. ↑,
46', Loffelsend J. ↓, Balic H. ↑,
46', Szczepanski M. ↓, Falowski K. ↑,
58', Krykun S. ↓, Jurkiewicz A. ↑,
66', Skrabb S. ↓, Gnaase D. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Lewandowski M. ⚽, Ernst S. (A),
76', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
76', Dadok R. ↓, Mlynski M. ↑,
83', Poczobut B. 🟨,
84', Wysokinski M. ↓, Hinokio K. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Rudol S. ⚽, Piasecki F. (A),
90+8', Piasecki F. (Pen),
90+10', Falowski K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

ŁKS is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ŁKS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, ŁKS won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
19.08.25	Miedź Legnica - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Chrobry Głogów - ŁKS Łódź	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Bytom	5:0 ✺
26.07.25	Wisła Kraków - ŁKS Łódź	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Polonia Warsaw
Polish Division 1
19.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Wieczysta Kraków	1:6 ✺
15.08.25	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
10.08.25	Znicz Pruszków - Polonia Warsaw	1:4 ✺
02.08.25	Stal Mielec - Polonia Warsaw	1:3 ✺
27.07.25	Polonia Warsaw - GKS Tychy	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
17.05.25	Polonia Warsaw - ŁKS Łódź	0:1
08.11.24	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	0:0
Club Friendly
14.07.23	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	6:2
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.02.12	ŁKS Łódź - Polonia Warsaw	N/A

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