Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska		Lipno Stęszew

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.75
	1.41	4.65	5.35
	1.4	4.49	5.8
	1.50	4.37	5.17	Watch
	1.45	4.45	5.36	Watch
	1.5	4.3	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	4.41 ↑ (4.25)	5.16 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
61.9%

Draw
20.5%

Lipno Stęszew
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

21.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

20.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 12).

Środa Wielkopolska has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lipno Stęszew is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Including home match between the teams, Środa Wielkopolska won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
27.08.25	Luzino - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTWW
- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
06.09.25	Lipno Stęszew - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0 ✺
27.08.25	Lipno Stęszew - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Lipno Stęszew - Wda Świecie	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
25.07.25	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Lipno Stęszew	2:3

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