Match Info

Persha Liga - Promotion Group - Round 7

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Lokomotyv Stadium (Poltava)


	Poltava		Bukovyna Chernivtsi

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.8
	2.36	3.3	2.65
	2.31	3.54	2.56
	2.02	3.14	3.65	Watch
	2.4	3.08	2.71
	2.36	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.98)	3.24 ↓ (3.25)	2.84 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
39.9%

Draw
28.1%

Bukovyna Chernivtsi
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

27.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

26.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poltava's form might have worsened.

Bukovyna Chernivtsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bukovyna Chernivtsi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poltava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bukovyna Chernivtsi than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bukovyna Chernivtsi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Voskonyan V. (G) 15. Danylenko V. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 95. Kotsyumaka I. 14. Marusych M. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 39. Opanasenko Y. 44. Plakhtyr D. 12. Savenkov A. 9. Shcherbak D.	30. Kanevtsev D. (G) 3. Bezuglyy M. 10. Boychuk B. 9. Goncharuk D. 20. Koltsov V. (C) 7. Kozhushko O. 74. Morgovskyi Y. 99. Plaksa R. 37. Prokopchuk K. 14. Shynkarenko D. 27. Tyshchenko I.
Substitutes
19. Buzhyn M. 30. Chervinskyi D. 3. Khodulya I. 5. Pidlepych V. 33. Prokopenko R. 24. Shapovalov S. 16. Shevchenko Y. 21. Shmygelskyi B. 10. Streltsov Y. 27. Tymenko V. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)	17. Andreychuk A. 8. Khamelyuk V. 19. Kilyevyi A. 71. Lopyryonok M. 1. Pogorilyi D. (G) 55. Ponomarenko I. (G) 5. Rudavskyi M. 4. Soldat I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Shcherbak D. ⚽,
39', Misyura Y. 🟨,
39', Boychuk B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Kozhushko O. 🟨,
61', Savenkov A. 🟨,
64', Savenkov A. ↓, Buzhyn M. ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Marusych M. ⚽,
68', Marusych M. 🟨,
68', Shynkarenko D. 🟨,
69', Koltsov V. ↓, Khamelyuk V. ↑,
70', Goncharuk D. ↓, Kilyevyi A. ↑,
76', Odaryuk V. ↓, Shmygelskyi B. ↑,
76', Marusych M. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,
83', Kozhushko O. ↓, Andreychuk A. ↑,
90', Danylenko V. ↓, Shapovalov S. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Poltava have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bukovyna is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Poltava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Poltava might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Poltava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.05.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Poltava	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Poltava - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Poltava	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Poltava - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTL
- Bukovyna Chernivtsi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.05.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Kudrivka - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	UCSA - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.04.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Dynamo Kyiv	1:4 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.04.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Poltava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.04.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Poltava	1:1
07.05.23	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Poltava	2:2
09.04.23	Poltava - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2

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