Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		Poltava

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.45
	2.73	3	2.6
	2.88	2.94	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3	2.38
	2.85	2.83	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.41)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
32.9%

Draw
30.6%

Poltava
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (-2%)

Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 18. Boyko M. 70. Cheglov M. 17. Korokhov E. 77. Mashtalir S. 16. Novotryasov A. 8. Palamar R. 45. Sasovskyi M. 25. Sharay S. 33. Ulyanov D. (C) 15. Yevpak M.	13. Voskonyan V. (G) 19. Buzhyn M. 15. Danylenko V. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 3. Khodulya I. 14. Marusych M. 20. Misyura Y. 8. Odaryuk V. 11. Perebora A. 44. Plakhtyr D. 9. Shcherbak D.
Substitutes
19. Danylyuk A. 1. Klimov G. (G) 10. Knysh D. 5. Kravchuk Y. 4. Kurelekh V. 96. Nych N. 28. Ryabyi D. 22. Shpyryonok A. 71. Yarosh M. (G)	39. Opanasenko Y. 5. Pidlepych V. 12. Savenkov A. 24. Shapovalov S. 10. Streltsov Y. 27. Tymenko V. 1. Vartsaba I. (G) 88. Vivdych O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Cheglov M. ⚽,
33', Novotryasov A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Plakhtyr D. ⚽,
37', Ulyanov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mashtalir S. ↓, Knysh D. ↑,
56', Galenkov D. ↓, Vivdych O. ↑,
63', Boyko M. 🟨,
67', Sharay S. ↓, Nych N. ↑,
67', Boyko M. ↓, Kurelekh V. ↑,
82', Marusych M. ↓, Streltsov Y. ↑,
83', Plakhtyr D. ↓, Shapovalov S. ↑,
83', Odaryuk V. ↓, Savenkov A. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Shcherbak D. (Pen),
90+2', Palamar R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Viktoriya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Poltava is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Viktoriya won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Viktoriya won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
19.10.24	Kudrivka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
08.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0 ✺
04.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Dinaz Vyshgorod	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	UCSA - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTTT
- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.10.24	Poltava - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:2 ✺
14.10.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Poltava	3:1 ✺
10.10.24	Poltava - UCSA	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Poltava - Feniks-Mariupol	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.09.24	Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:0
Club Friendly
18.07.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.11.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Poltava	0:0
03.09.23	Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	2:2

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