Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Lokomotyv Stadium (Poltava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Sport


	Poltava		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.10	3.75
	1.8	3.35	4.1
	2	3.02	3.4
	1.84	3.29	4.18	Watch
	1.99	2.98	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.83)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	3.79 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poltava
47.5%

Draw
28.7%

Metalist Kharkiv
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

29.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poltava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poltava than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minchev M. (G) 28. Blagodarnyi D. 19. Buzhyn M. (C) 7. Galenkov D. 11. Kasimov D. 17. Kobzar B. 2. Kononov M. 8. Odaryuk V. 10. Sad V. 13. Savenkov A. 97. Seytkhalilov S.	35. Pletnyov P. (G) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. (C) 19. Kaydalov D. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 31. Porokh B. 17. Prykhodko D. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.
Substitutes
95. Kotsyumaka I. 20. Krokhmal N. 5. Pidlepych V. 91. Pustovit A. 9. Shcherbak D. 12. Surdov O. (G) 21. Tlumak Y. 88. Vivdych O. 96. Yermolov D. (G) 74. Zhadan I.	29. Abramov Y. 39. Gryshchenko I. 27. Isaenko Y. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 43. Polyakov G. (G) 30. Shapovalov I. 11. Tsvirenko O. 21. Zdankov D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Seytkhalilov S. ⚽,
44', 2 - 0, Kobzar B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Relegation: ) and 8th).

In recent outings, Poltava has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Metalist shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Metalist may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Poltava for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Poltava has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Poltava against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	SC Poltava	10	5	3	2	16:7	9	18
9	Metalist Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	11:11	0	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Poltava	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Poltava - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Kolos Kovalivka 2 - Poltava	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Poltava - UCSA	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Feniks-Mariupol - Poltava	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWTW
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.09.26	Inhulets - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
09.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.26	Penuel - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.05.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Poltava	0:1
27.04.25	Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0

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