Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Ourense CF		Compostela

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.95	3.7
	2	3	4
	1.94	2.87	3.5
	2.01	3.02	3.9
	1.99	3.08	3.98
	2	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)	2.99 ↓ (3.34)	3.81 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
45.8%

Draw
30.4%

Compostela
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

27.4%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense CF's form might have worsened.

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense CF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Ourense CF - Compostela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 1.

Ourense CF is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Compostela is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ourense CF is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ourense CF won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ourense CF won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.02.24	Covadonga - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	Ourense CF - Arandina	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Marino de Luanco - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
13.01.24	Ourense CF - Rayo Cantabria	3:0 ✺
06.01.24	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWTWW
- SD Compostela
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
04.02.24	Zamora - Compostela	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Compostela - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Arandina - Compostela	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Compostela - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Compostela - Rayo Cantabria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.10.23	Compostela - Ourense CF	0:1
05.02.23	Compostela - Ourense CF	2:1
18.09.22	Ourense CF - Compostela	1:1
Club Friendly
24.08.22	Ourense CF - Compostela	1:2
30.07.22	Compostela - Ourense CF	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
25.07.20	Compostela - Ourense CF	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.01.20	Ourense CF - Compostela	2:2

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