Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TVG 2


	Compostela		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.11	2.95	3.45
	2.17	2.93	3.57
	2.14	2.98	3.52	Watch
	2.13	3.08	3.47
	2.11	2.95	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.36)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)	3.46 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Compostela
42.9%

Draw
30.8%

Guijuelo
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Compostela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Compostela than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Compostela - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Matos H. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Compostela won 3.

Recent matches Compostela is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Guijuelo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Compostela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Compostela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Compostela won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:8 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Compostela won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:4 (average 0.8:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Compostela
Spanish Copa Federacion
16.10.24	Compostela - Poblense	3:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.10.24	Rayo Cantabria - Compostela	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	Sestao - Compostela	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
06.10.24	Compostela - Escobedo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
03.10.24	Lealtad - Compostela	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWLW
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.10.24	Guijuelo - Valladolid B	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Real Ávila - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
28.09.24	Guijuelo - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Laredo - Guijuelo	3:3 ✺
14.09.24	Guijuelo - Salamanca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.03.24	Compostela - Guijuelo	1:0
18.11.23	Guijuelo - Compostela	0:1
26.02.23	Guijuelo - Compostela	2:3
09.10.22	Compostela - Guijuelo	0:0
06.02.21	Guijuelo - Compostela	1:1
07.11.20	Compostela - Guijuelo	3:0
13.03.16	Guijuelo - Compostela	1:1

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