Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Pombal (Pombal)


	Pombal		SB Castelo Branco

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.25
	2.95	3	2.34
	3.06	2.81	2.4
				Watch
	3.03	2.97	2.31
	2.95	3	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (1.93)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.33 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pombal
30.3%

Draw
30.8%

SB Castelo Branco
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pombal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pombal's form might have worsened.

SB Castelo Branco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SB Castelo Branco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pombal than the current prediction. (+18.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pombal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pombal - SB Castelo Branco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Morais Guedes A. ⚽,
16', 🟥,
45', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Pombal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SB Castelo Branco is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Clube de Pombal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.11.24	Pero Pinheiro - Pombal	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Pombal - Alcains	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Alverca B - Pombal	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Pombal - Os Marialvas	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Covilhã - Pombal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLTL
- SB Castelo Branco
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.11.24	Alcains - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
27.10.24	SB Castelo Branco - Os Marialvas	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mortágua - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	SB Castelo Branco - Arronches Benfica	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Elvas - SB Castelo Branco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL

Pombal - SB Castelo Branco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide