The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 37.1%
Draw 33.9%
Alcorcón 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
33.8%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
23%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ponferradina - Alcorcón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Preview
Ponferradina has the most likely position - 21 (6.13%), has project points - 52, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (24%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Alcorcón has the most likely position - 20 (6.37%), has project points - 51, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Ponferradina is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Alcorcón is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently opponents have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.
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