Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 16

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Toralín (Ponferrada)

Referee: Gorostegui Fernandez A. (Esp)


	Ponferradina		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.75	Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	2.75	2.88	2.85	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.7
	2.81	3.07	2.85
	2.88	2.9	2.62	Watch
	2.67	3.16	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.62)	2.98 ↓ (3.11)	2.72 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferradina
34.1%

Draw
31.4%

Real Oviedo
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.9%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

28.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	66.7%	13.3%

Ponferradina - Real Oviedo Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Oviedo will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 17).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 21 (9.4%), has project points - 48, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Oviedo has the most likely position - 16 (6.96%), has project points - 53, has currently - 16, has a chance of relegated (19%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (9%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 31, importance 40, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.

Ponferradina is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Oviedo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ponferradina have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.22	Leganés - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
01.11.22	Ponferradina - Huesca	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	FC Andorra - Ponferradina	3:0 ✺
23.10.22	Racing Santander - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWLT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Oviedo	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Real Oviedo - Granada	1:0 ✺
02.11.22	Villarreal B - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
29.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Real Oviedo - Málaga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.12.21	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	2:0
24.10.21	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:2
Club Friendly
07.08.21	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.21	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	1:1
18.12.20	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:0
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
12.06.20	Real Oviedo - Ponferradina	0:0

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