Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Santa Marta Tormes		Atlético Tordesillas

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.62	2.58
	2.93	2.67	2.62
	9.03	4.20	1.37	Watch
	2.88	2.65	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (2.55)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	2.29 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Marta Tormes
22.7%

Draw
33.2%

Atlético Tordesillas
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Marta Tormes's form might have worsened.

Atlético Tordesillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Tordesillas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tordesillas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Tordesillas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 2.

Santa Marta Tormes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tordesillas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Santa Marta Tormes	5	4	0	1	8:4	4	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Santa Marta Tormes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.03.26	Numancia B - Santa Marta Tormes	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Palencia CA	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Villaralbo - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Santa Marta Tormes - Colegios Diocesanos	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Unionistas B - Santa Marta Tormes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWTT
- Atlético Tordesillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
08.03.26	Atlético Tordesillas - La Virgen del Camino	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Atlético Mansillés - Atlético Tordesillas	0:4 ✺
22.02.26	Mirandés B - Atlético Tordesillas	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Tordesillas	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.11.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1
11.05.25	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	3:1
12.01.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1
25.02.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	0:0
08.10.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	1:0
22.04.23	Santa Marta Tormes - Atlético Tordesillas	2:1
08.01.23	Atlético Tordesillas - Santa Marta Tormes	0:1

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