Match Info

Brasileiro U20 B - Round 6

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Ponte Preta U20		Avaí U20

	1	X	2
	2.34	3.2	2.88
	2.16	3.37	3.05	Watch
	2.07	3.4	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	3.01 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
41.9%

Draw
27.6%

Avaí U20
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.9%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25.6%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Avaí U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí U20 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Ponte Preta U20 - Avaí U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 🟥,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 3, ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Recently, Ponte Preta U20 had a set of guest games.

Ponte Preta U20 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.04.25	EC São Bernardo U20 - Ponte Preta U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
23.04.25	Coritiba U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
16.04.25	Operário Ferroviario U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Criciúma U20	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	Brusque U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTWW
- Avaí U20
Brazilian Catarinense U20
26.04.25	Avaí U20 - Brusque U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
23.04.25	Avaí U20 - Ituano U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Catarinense U20
19.04.25	Concórdia U20 - Avaí U20	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Chapecoense U20 - Avaí U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
09.04.25	Avaí U20 - Brusque U20	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTW

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