Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 6

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday


	Ponte Preta U20		Mirassol U20

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.8	3.65	1.78
	3.8	3.53	1.74
	3.93	3.76	1.76	Watch
	4.11	3.7	1.71
	3.8	3.65	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.55)	3.63 ↑ (3.4)	1.75 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte Preta U20
23.4%

Draw
24.9%

Mirassol U20
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

26.7%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte Preta U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta U20's form might have worsened.

Mirassol U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol U20 than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponte Preta U20 - Mirassol U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Ponte Preta U20 is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mirassol U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mirassol U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte Preta U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
24.05.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20 B
21.05.25	Vitória U20 - Ponte Preta U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
17.05.25	Ponte Preta U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Ponte Preta U20	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Ponte Preta U20 - Grêmio Osasco Audax U20	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Mirassol U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
23.05.25	Mirassol U20 - São Caetano U20	2:2 ✺
16.05.25	Mirassol U20 - São José-SP U20	6:0 ✺
09.05.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	0:3 ✺
02.05.25	Mirassol U20 - CA Juventus U20	0:1 ✺
25.04.25	Aguaí U20 - Mirassol U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWWLW

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