Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ponte San Pietro Isola		Varesina

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.71	3.2	1.88
	3.71	3.2	1.88
	4	3.7	1.62
	3.85	3.38	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.79 ↓ (5.15)	3.38 ↓ (4)	1.8 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponte San Pietro Isola
23.6%

Draw
26.6%

Varesina
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.7%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

22.3%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponte San Pietro Isola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte San Pietro Isola's performance.

Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varesina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte San Pietro Isola than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte San Pietro Isola that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varesina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Ponte San Pietro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varesina is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ponte San Pietro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Varesina have a series of home games.

In this match Varesina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ponte San Pietro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ponte San Pietro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ponte San Pietro Isola
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.12.23	Brusaporto - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Castellanzese	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Clivense - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Legnano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLLLL
- ASD Varesina
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.12.23	Varesina - Legnano	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
29.11.23	Varesina - Pro Palazzolo	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.11.23	Caldiero Terme - Varesina	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Varesina - Club Milano	3:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
15.11.23	Varesina - Arconatese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
26.02.23	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina	2:3
23.10.22	Varesina - Ponte San Pietro Isola	1:0

Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ponte San Pietro Isola - Varesina Predictions

Preview

Form

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