Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ettore Mannucci (Pontedera)


	Pontedera		Varese

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.20	2.10
	3.60	3.35	1.81
	2.91	3.52	2.07
	2.92	3.51	2.15	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.04
	2.89	3.46	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.72)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2.08 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontedera
30%

Draw
26.5%

Varese
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.4%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Pontedera - Varese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Barzotti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 0 - 2, ⚽,
76', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Varese carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Varese FC	6	1	3	2	7:7	0	6
18	Pontedera	5	0	0	5	3:15	-12	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Pontedera
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.09.26	Pro Sesto - Pontedera	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Pontedera - Pro Patria	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Castellanzese - Pontedera	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.26	Tau Altopascio - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.04.26	Pontedera - Livorno	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- Varese FC
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.09.26	Cittadella Vis Modena - Varese	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Varese - Pro Sesto	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Tropical Coriano - Varese	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.26	Varese - Pro Palazzolo	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
17.05.26	Ligorna - Varese	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLTWL

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