Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal da Lomba (Vilagarcia de Arousa) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	21:00	DAZN France


	Arosa		Pontevedra

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.25	2.15
	3.80	3.50	1.93
	3.65	3.60	1.94
	3.74	3.51	1.97
	4.35	3.65	1.77	Watch
	3.45	3.45	1.95
	3.22	3.26	2.21	Watch
	3.35	3.30	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (4)	3.44 ↓ (3.78)	2 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arosa
26%

Draw
27.2%

Pontevedra
46.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.9%

24.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

23.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontevedra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontevedra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arosa - Pontevedra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leobalde C. (G) 17. Torrado C. 4. Pacheco C. (C) 5. Santos S. 16. Fraga X. 10. Lopez I. 8. Concheiro A. 6. Remeseiro M. 11. Diz M. 20. Rey A. 9. Rivera J.	13. Galindo I. (G) 2. Argos A. 15. Alba D. 18. Ergouai R. 4. Juanra 7. Gonzalez A. (C) 23. Bravo M. 8. Ramos J. 6. Ivorra I. 21. Charid I. 19. Omoregbe B.
Substitutes
15. Arellano Jimenez M. 25. Castro L. 24. Coira A. 7. Gabri Palmas 18. Garcia H. 23. Lombao A. C. 19. Maceira J. 22. Morante D. 13. Perez A. (G) 21. Redondo E. 12. Torres H.	22. Comparada Gonzalez A. 11. Elejalde I. 3. Gaye P. 32. Iglesias F. 14. Macias L. 1. Marqueta R. (G) 9. Mba D. 33. Outeirino I. 5. Perez A. 10. Pino Y. 20. Rui Pedro 16. Vidorreta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Ergouai R. 🟨,
26', Santos S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Omoregbe B. ↓, Comparada Gonzalez A. ↑,
46', Ergouai R. ↓, Rui Pedro ↑,
46', Pacheco C. ↓, Morante D. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Remeseiro M. ⚽,
58', Rey A. 🟨,
61', Bravo M. ↓, Elejalde I. ↑,
61', Charid I. ↓, Pino Y. ↑,
61', Juanra ↓, Gaye P. ↑,
64', Rivera J. ↓, Gabri Palmas ↑,
64', Lopez I. ↓, Arellano Jimenez M. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Gabri Palmas ⚽,
66', Pino Y. 🟨,
72', Fraga X. ↓, Torres H. ↑,
79', Rey A. ↓, Maceira J. ↑,
81', Concheiro A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

In this matchup, Pontevedra is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Arosa has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arosa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
24.10.26	Sestao - Arosa	1:0 ✺
18.10.26	Arosa - Llanera	4:1 ✺
11.10.26	Arosa - Bergantiños	2:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ourense CF - Arosa	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Arosa - Alavés B	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTTL
- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.26	Leonesa - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	Pontevedra - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
11.10.26	Pontevedra - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Ferrol - Pontevedra	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Pontevedra - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.08.26	Arosa - Pontevedra	3:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Arosa - Pontevedra	1:1
28.11.21	Pontevedra - Arosa	1:0

Arosa - Pontevedra