Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Pontevedra		Numancia

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	2.01	2.85	3.95
	2.17	2.79	3.93
	1.98	2.86	4.3	Watch
	1.98	3.37	3.73
	2.01	2.85	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.82)	2.97 ↓ (3.17)	4.04 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontevedra
46.3%

Draw
30.9%

Numancia
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

28.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

31.2%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pontevedra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Pontevedra - Numancia Predictions

Users Predictions: Pontevedra will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, de Almeida D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Postponed due to rain.

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pontevedra is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pontevedra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontevedra CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.03.25	Real Avilés - Pontevedra	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Pontevedra - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Rayo Cantabria - Pontevedra	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Pontevedra - Escobedo	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Marino de Luanco - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWT
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.25	Numancia - Laredo	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Marino de Luanco - Numancia	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Numancia - Salamanca	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Langreo - Numancia	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Numancia - Llanera	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.09.24	Numancia - Pontevedra	2:0

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