Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 22

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Guido Teghil (Lignano Sabbiadro)


	Pordenone		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.6	9	Watch
	1.3	4.4	8.75
	1.29	4.2	9.4
	1.29	4.51	9.38
	1.27	4.33	11
	1.29	4.65	10	Watch
	1.29	4.5	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.55)	4.46 ↑ (3.37)	9.59 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
70.3%

Draw
20.3%

Virtus Verona
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

26.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pordenone's performance.

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Verona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pordenone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Verona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Pordenone - Virtus Verona Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Virtus Verona will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pordenone: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Pordenone is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Verona is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Pordenone is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
08.01.23	Juventus U23 - Pordenone	1:2 ✺
22.12.22	Pordenone - Triestina	2:1 ✺
17.12.22	AlbinoLeffe - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Pordenone - Vicenza Virtus	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Pro Vercelli - Pordenone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTTL
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
08.01.23	Virtus Verona - Piacenza	1:2 ✺
23.12.22	Lecco - Virtus Verona	0:0 ✺
17.12.22	Juventus U23 - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Virtus Verona - Renate	3:0 ✺
04.12.22	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.09.22	Virtus Verona - Pordenone	0:2
Italian Serie C Group B
22.01.19	Virtus Verona - Pordenone	1:2
26.09.18	Pordenone - Virtus Verona	1:0

Pordenone - Virtus Verona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide