Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 27

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi (Lecco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Lecco		Virtus Verona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.65	Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.93
	1.7	3.4	4.88	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.6
	1.68	3.32	4.9
	1.71	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	4.79 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lecco
53.8%

Draw
27.1%

Virtus Verona
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

27.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Virtus Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecco than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lecco - Virtus Verona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lecco (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Lecco (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecco (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Furlan J. (G) 13. Battistini M. (C) 4. Marrone L. 41. Romani L. 17. Pellegrino G. 21. Metlika A. 5. Zanellato N. 80. Kritta M. 97. Duca E. 10. Furrer G. 51. Konate I.	22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 7. Amadio M. 75. Bassi M. 5. Fanini F. 30. Gatti C. 29. Saiani F. 9. Cernigoi I. 44. Pagliuca M.
Substitutes
78. Anastasini J. 79. Arena F. 14. Bonaiti S. 90. Constant G. (G) 22. Dalmasso J. (G) 16. Ferrini M. 33. Lovisa N. 20. Mihali L. 73. Nova E. 99. Parker S. 45. Rizzo M. 29. Urso O.	2. Alfonso E. (G) 8. Caia F. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 85. Fiori N. 20. Fiorin G. 74. Lerco S. 11. Mastour H. 28. Patane N. 12. Scardigno N. (G) 10. Zarpellon L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Marrone L. 🟨,
15', Marrone L. 🟥,
16', Furrer G. ↓, Rizzo M. ↑,
17', Patane N. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Konate I. ⚽,
36', Patane N. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Konate I. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Metlika A. ⚽,
59', Pagliuca M. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
59', Daffara M. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
64', 2 - 1, Zarpellon L. ⚽,
72', Metlika A. ↓, Nova E. ↑,
72', Pellegrino G. ↓, Bonaiti S. ↑,
79', Duca E. ↓, Mihali L. ↑,
81', Gatti C. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
81', Amadio M. ↓, Lerco S. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Fanini F. ⚽,
90+3', Toffanin F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 0.

Lecco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Verona is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Virtus Verona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Lecco is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lecco won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecco won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	6:8	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Lecco 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.26	Giana Erminio - Lecco	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Lecco - Pro Vercelli	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Trento - Lecco	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Lecco - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Lecco	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLW
- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
11.02.26	Brescia - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Virtus Verona - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Virtus Verona - Pro Vercelli	2:2 ✺
18.01.26	Inter U23 - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
04.10.25	Virtus Verona - Lecco	2:2
23.03.25	Virtus Verona - Lecco	1:1
09.11.24	Lecco - Virtus Verona	1:1
23.12.22	Lecco - Virtus Verona	0:0
03.09.22	Virtus Verona - Lecco	2:2
12.03.22	Virtus Verona - Lecco	1:0
31.10.21	Lecco - Virtus Verona	2:2

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