Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Virtus Verona		Renate

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.15	2.08
	3.73	3.2	2.1
	3.52	3.18	2.05	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2
	3.6	3.02	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (3.61)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Verona
25.9%

Draw
29.6%

Renate
44.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.3%

29%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

27.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Renate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renate than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Virtus Verona - Renate Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Scardigno N. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 29. Saiani F. 74. Lerco S. 5. Fanini F. 20. Fiorin G. 75. Bassi M. 8. Caia F. 18. Cernigoi I.	22. Nobile T. (G) 24. Spedalieri J. 5. Auriletto S. (C) 21. Riviera C. 11. Delcarro A. 14. Cali M. 25. Vassallo F. 17. Bonetti A. 80. Vesentini F. 9. Karlsson O. 16. Ekuban J.
Substitutes
2. Alfonso E. (G) 7. Amadio M. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 99. Fabbro M. 30. Gatti C. 38. Ingrosso G. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 44. Pagliuca M. 36. Sebastiani G. 22. Sibi S. (G) 10. Zarpellon L.	92. Anelli N. 12. Bartoccioni A. (G) 77. De Leo L. 2. De Zen R. 8. Esposito G. 3. Gardoni P. 7. Muhameti E. 45. Nene S. 15. Ori R. 6. Rossi G. 71. Ruiz Giraldo P. 19. Ziu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Cernigoi I. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Cernigoi I. ↓, Fabbro M. ↑,
27', Lerco S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Caia F. ↓, Zarpellon L. ↑,
46', Lerco S. ↓, Amadio M. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Bonetti A. ⚽,
53', 2 - 1, Fabbro M. ⚽,
57', 2 - 2, Karlsson O. ⚽,
75', Fanini F. ↓, Gatti C. ↑,
76', Vassallo F. ↓, De Zen R. ↑,
79', Ekuban J. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
87', Cali M. 🟨,
89', Fiorin G. ↓, Ingrosso G. ↑,
89', Vesentini F. ↓, Ruiz Giraldo P. ↑,
90', Karlsson O. ↓, De Leo L. ↑,
90', Delcarro A. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 1.

Virtus Verona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Renate is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Renate could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Virtus Verona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Verona won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Renate	11	0	5	6	9:16	-7	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Verona
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Trento - Virtus Verona	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Pro Patria - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
23.02.26	Virtus Verona - Vicenza Virtus	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Lecco - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLT
- AC Renate
Italian Serie C Group A
07.03.26	Renate - Lumezzane	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Lecco - Renate	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - Renate	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Renate - Inter U23	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Cittadella - Renate	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
08.11.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:0
25.01.25	Renate - Virtus Verona	0:3
20.09.24	Virtus Verona - Renate	1:2
30.03.24	Virtus Verona - Renate	0:0
25.11.23	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:1
16.04.23	Renate - Virtus Verona	1:1
11.12.22	Virtus Verona - Renate	3:0

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