Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Porreres		Formentera

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.1	2.65
	2.6	2.95	2.65
	2.77	2.66	2.77
	2.71	2.86	2.71	Watch
	2.6	3.14	2.59
	2.6	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.42)	2.94 ↓ (3.24)	2.67 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porreres
34.9%

Draw
31%

Formentera
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

27.3%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porreres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porreres than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Porreres - Formentera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porreres (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Canario ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Porreres has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Formentera is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Porreres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porreres won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Porreres
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.05.25	Migjorn - Porreres	1:3 ✺
04.05.25	Porreres - PE Sant Jordi	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Porreres - Santanyí	3:1 ✺
12.04.25	Campos - Porreres	1:4 ✺
06.04.25	Porreres - Felanitx	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWT
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
11.05.25	Formentera - Poblense	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Collerense - Formentera	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Formentera - Mercadal	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Penya Independent - Formentera	1:3 ✺
12.04.25	Formentera - Platges de Calvià	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
30.03.25	Formentera - Porreres	1:0

Porreres - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide