Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Formentera		Mercadal

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.55	5.15
	1.57	3.47	5.38
	1.6	3.58	5.48
	1.62	3.25	5.5
	1.55	3.48	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)	5.48 ↑ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Formentera
57.3%

Draw
26.2%

Mercadal
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

26.3%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

24.4%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Formentera - Mercadal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).

Formentera is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mercadal is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Formentera is a strong favorite.

We predict that Formentera will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Formentera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Formentera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Formentera	5	2	2	1	7:4	3	8
12	Mercadal	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
12.04.26	Binissalem - Formentera	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Formentera - Felanitx	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Peña Deportiva - Formentera	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Formentera - Portmany	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Rotlet Molinar - Formentera	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWWW
- CE Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.04.26	Mercadal - Constancia	1:4 ✺
12.04.26	Mercadal - Inter Ibiza	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Mercadal - Cardassar	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Manacor - Mercadal	3:0 ✺
18.03.26	Portmany - Mercadal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.12.25	Mercadal - Formentera	0:1
26.04.25	Formentera - Mercadal	4:0
14.12.24	Mercadal - Formentera	2:2

Formentera - Mercadal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide