Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 2

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)

Referee: Hassan D. (Nir)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Nifl TV


	Portadown		Dungannon Swifts

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.40	2.40
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	3.02	3.64	2.25
	2.67	3.43	2.38	Watch
	3	3.65	2.17
	2.95	3.59	2.21
	2.8	3.35	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.62)	3.48 ↑ (3.43)	2.27 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
32.7%

Draw
26.6%

Dungannon Swifts
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

26.4%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-2%)

Portadown - Dungannon Swifts Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McCarey A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 12. Breen R. 3. Carson M. 48. Dos Santos Martins D. 9. Falls C. 34. Flanagan F. 23. Hewitt M. 5. MacKinnon L. 22. Scott J. 19. Teelan J.	1. Dunne D. (G) 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 21. Doyle P. 17. Glackin J. 14. Glenny A. 16. Gordon S. 15. Lowe K. 67. McAllister S. 5. McKeown B. 9. Mitchell A. 23. Wallace D.
Substitutes
33. Barry J. (G) 2. Isamala D. 11. Kennedy B. 6. Minzamba R. 17. O'Mahoney S. 28. Towe A. . Wells B.	13. Alves L. 10. Dillon K. 12. Henderson A. (G) 6. Kelly T. . McGinty C. 40. Ogedi-Uzokwe J. . Smith C.
Coaches
Jeffrey D.	McAree R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Lowe K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Flanagan F. ↓, Kennedy B. ↑,
64', Mitchell A. ↓, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ↑,
64', Gordon S. ↓, Kelly T. ↑,
67', Altintop B. 🟨,
68', Dos Santos Martins D. 🟨,
70', Dos Santos Martins D. ↓, Towe A. ↑,
70', Altintop B. ↓, Wells B. ↑,
84', McAllister S. 🟨,
84', Wallace D. 🟨,
84', Scott J. 🟨,
84', Breen R. 🟨,
85', Doyle P. 🟨,
86', McAllister S. ↓, Smith C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 2.

Recent performances by Portadown have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dungannon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dungannon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Portadown has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Portadown won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Portadown won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now

Portadown: 0.84% Dungannon: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Dungannon	9	4	1	4	9:10	-1	13
12	Portadown	10	1	1	8	8:20	-12	4

Last Results with these Odds

Dungannon Swifts - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.07.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Coleraine - Portadown	3:0 ✺
07.07.26	Bourneview Mill - Portadown	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Ballyclare Comrades - Portadown	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLTW
- Dungannon Swifts
Northern Irish Premiership
08.08.26	Dungannon Swifts - Coleraine	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Moyola Park - Dungannon Swifts	0:3 ✺
25.07.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dungannon Swifts	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Loughgall - Dungannon Swifts	1:4 ✺
07.07.26	Dungannon Swifts - Annagh United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
21.02.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	1:0
Northern Irish Cup
07.02.26	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	1:2
Northern Irish Premiership
20.12.25	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	4:2
16.08.25	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	1:4
15.03.25	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	1:1
19.10.24	Dungannon Swifts - Portadown	2:0
13.09.24	Portadown - Dungannon Swifts	2:1

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