Match Info

NIFL Premiership - Round 15

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday

Location: Inver Park (Larne)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Larne		Portadown

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.55	7.7
	1.35	4.93	8.64
	1.43	4.49	6.17	Watch
	1.33	4.4	8.3
	1.43	4.1	5.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	4.49 ↑ (4.31)	7.31 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
66.9%

Draw
20.5%

Portadown
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.5%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Larne than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Larne - Portadown Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Larne (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Larne will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 4. Donnelly A. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 7. McKendry C. 21. Millar L. 10. O'Connor T. 9. O'Neill P. 8. Randall M. 3. Ridley M.	40. Moore A. (G) 4. Altintop B. 7. Chapman L. 13. Fyfe E. 2. Isamala D. 5. MacKinnon L. 30. Quinn B. 19. Teelan J. 26. Thompson G. 6. Wilson L. 8. Wylie B.
Substitutes
26. Bent D. 46. Graham D. (G) 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 47. Simpson J. 36. Wallace L.	27. Annett R. 33. Francey S. 12. Gibson J. 10. Mayse R. 21. Minzamba R. 3. Rea J. 18. Traynor A.
Coaches
Haveron G.	Currie N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Randall M. ⚽,
53', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Randall M. ⚽,
59', 3 - 0, O'Connor T. ⚽,
64', Thompson G. ↓, Annett R. ↑,
64', Quinn B. ↓, Minzamba R. ↑,
66', McKendry C. ↓, Bent D. ↑,
66', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
66', Millar L. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
77', Altintop B. 🟨,
78', O'Neill P. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
80', Wilson L. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
84', 🟨,
84', Graham S. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
87', Isamala D. ↓, Rea J. ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larne won 2.

Larne is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Portadown has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Larne is the obvious favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Larne won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Larne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:9. (average 2.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
Northern Irish Premiership
01.11.25	Ballymena United - Larne	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Larne - Bangor	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Cliftonville - Larne	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Dungannon Swifts - Larne	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Larne - Carrick Rangers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLW
- Portadown
Northern Irish Premiership
31.10.25	Glentoran - Portadown	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Portadown - Coleraine	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Portadown - Linfield	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Carrick Rangers - Portadown	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	Portadown - Glenavon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Premiership
22.08.25	Larne - Portadown	4:0
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Larne - Portadown	3:0
Northern Irish Premiership
15.02.25	Portadown - Larne	2:0
01.02.25	Larne - Portadown	1:1
27.10.24	Portadown - Larne	2:1
24.01.23	Larne - Portadown	2:0
12.11.22	Portadown - Larne	0:5

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