Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Promotion Group - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)


	Portadown		Institute FC

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.75	2.95
	1.96	3.77	2.96
	1.96	3.77	2.97
	1.75	3.9	3.3
	1.96	3.77	3.28
	1.97	3.7	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)	3.78 ↓ (3.89)	3.09 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
46.9%

Draw
23.9%

Institute FC
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.8%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

23.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Portadown is Qualified for NIFL Premiership

Last 5 head-to-head matches Portadown won 3.

Portadown is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Institute is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Portadown have a series of home games.

Portadown will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Portadown won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Portadown won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
20.04.24	Portadown - Dundela	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Portadown - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Portadown - Annagh United	2:4 ✺
02.04.24	Bangor - Portadown	0:3 ✺
26.03.24	Portadown - Knockbreda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWW
- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
20.04.24	Institute FC - Bangor	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Institute FC - Annagh United	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Dundela - Institute FC	3:4 ✺
02.04.24	Institute FC - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:2 ✺
27.03.24	Bangor - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
16.03.24	Institute FC - Portadown	1:2
04.11.23	Institute FC - Portadown	1:0
12.08.23	Portadown - Institute FC	1:0
09.03.18	Portadown - Institute FC	1:1
Northern Irish Premiership
05.01.15	Portadown - Institute FC	2:1
08.11.14	Portadown - Institute FC	4:1
04.10.14	Institute FC - Portadown	0:4

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