Match Info

NORTHERN IRELAND: NIFL Championship - Promotion Group - Round 36

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Shamrock Park (Portadown)


	Portadown		Harland & Wolff Welders

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.6
	1.6	4.2	4.5
	1.56	4.01	4.62
	1.56	4.02	4.62
	1.57	4.26	4.76
	1.54	4.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	4.13 ↑ (3.86)	4.63 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portadown
58.3%

Draw
22%

Harland & Wolff Welders
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

23.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

22.7%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portadown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portadown's performance.

Harland & Wolff Welders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portadown than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harland & Wolff Welders than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Fyfe E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 2 - 0, Mayse R. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, McLellan M. (Pen),
90+2', 3 - 1, McElroy P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portadown
Northern Irish Championship
06.04.24	Portadown - Annagh United	2:4 ✺
02.04.24	Bangor - Portadown	0:3 ✺
26.03.24	Portadown - Knockbreda	2:0 ✺
22.03.24	Portadown - Bangor	2:1 ✺
19.03.24	Ards - Portadown	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW
- Harland & Wolff Welders
Northern Irish Championship
06.04.24	Bangor - Harland & Wolff Welders	3:0 ✺
02.04.24	Institute FC - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Dundela	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Annagh United - Harland & Wolff Welders	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
13.01.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	1:2
21.10.23	Portadown - Harland & Wolff Welders	5:2
02.09.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	1:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	0:1
Northern Irish Championship
11.01.20	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	2:4
25.08.18	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	0:2
07.04.18	Harland & Wolff Welders - Portadown	1:3

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