Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 24

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Portici		Igea Virtus Barcellona

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.32	2.94	2.93
	2.2	3.4	2.62
	2.31	3.14	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.93)	3.22 ↓ (3.4)	2.79 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portici
39.8%

Draw
27.9%

Igea Virtus Barcellona
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

20.7%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portici's form might have worsened.

Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Igea Virtus Barcellona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 13).

Recent matches Portici is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Igea Virtus Barcellona is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Igea Virtus Barcellona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Portici will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Portici won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Portici won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.01.24	Sancataldese - Portici	2:0 ✺
17.01.24	Portici - Locri	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	Canicattì - Portici	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Portici - Real Casalnuovo	0:0 ✺
20.12.23	Portici - Akragas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTTW
- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.01.24	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Siracusa	2:1 ✺
17.01.24	San Luca - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Acireale - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Reggina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Sancataldese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
14.10.18	Portici - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:1
08.10.17	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Portici	2:1

Portici - Igea Virtus Barcellona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide