The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acireale 27.8%
Draw 28.2%
Igea Virtus Barcellona 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.9%
28.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
28.7%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Igea Virtus Barcellona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Acireale - Igea Virtus Barcellona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Algueche I. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Samb F. ⚽,
15', 3 - 0, Gagliardi M. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Vacca R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 3 - 2, Vacca R. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
90+12', 3 - 3, Longo S. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Acireale has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Igea Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Igea Virtus could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acireale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Acireale won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Igea Virtus
6
3
2
1
14:11
3
11
Last Results with these Odds
Acireale - the odds 2.89 are the expected chance of winning is 31.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.