Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Portimonense U23		Sporting Lisbon U23

	1	X	2
	4.05	3.75	1.68
	4.38	4.07	1.69
	4.65	3.94	1.65	Watch
	4.26	3.8	1.67	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.7)	3.83 ↑ (3.61)	1.7 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense U23
21.8%

Draw
24%

Sporting Lisbon U23
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

25%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

23.9%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Portimonense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
71', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: ) and 5 in the zone Liga Revelacao U23 (Losers stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense U23 won 0.

Portimonense U23 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sporting U23 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sporting U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting U23 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting U23 is the team to beat.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Portimonense U23 won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense U23 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.1:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.10.25	Farense U23 - Portimonense U23	1:2 ✺
30.09.25	Santa Clara U23 - Portimonense U23	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Portimonense U23 - Benfica U23	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Portimonense U23	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Portimonense U23 - Leiria U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
12.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Benfica U23	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Farense U23	3:0 ✺
12.09.25	Estoril U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:5 ✺
26.08.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Santa Clara U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
15.08.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Portimonense U23	3:0
17.12.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1
27.09.24	Portimonense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:1
24.10.23	Portimonense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:5
08.08.23	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Portimonense U23	0:0
09.03.23	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Portimonense U23	3:2
31.01.23	Portimonense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:0

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