Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Championship Group - Round 5

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon U23		Torreense U23

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.25	2.58
	2.56	3.5	2.54
	2.5	3.58	2.56	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.48	3.26	2.48	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.5)	3.32 ↓ (3.39)	2.51 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon U23
36.3%

Draw
27.4%

Torreense U23
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

27.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Torreense U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon U23 than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense U23 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Rei R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 🟥,
72', 1 - 2, Kowalski M. ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Torreense U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting U23 has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sporting U23 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting U23 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sporting CP U23	7	4	3	0	15:9	6	15
16	Torreense U23	6	1	3	2	9:12	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Torreense U23 - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
26.01.26	Braga U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
13.01.26	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
22.12.25	Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Farense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TLWWT
- Torreense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
26.01.26	Torreense U23 - Leixões U23	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Santa Clara U23 - Torreense U23	0:1 ✺
13.01.26	Torreense U23 - Benfica U23	3:1 ✺
06.01.26	Académico de Viseu U23 - Torreense U23	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Estrela da Amadora U23 - Torreense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
14.12.25	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:2
12.10.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	0:1
11.03.25	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	1:1
16.02.25	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	1:0
25.04.24	Sporting Lisbon U23 - Torreense U23	1:0
20.02.24	Torreense U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	2:3

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