Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 6

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Portimonense U23		Leiria U23

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.25	3.3
	1.97	3.53	3.68
	1.93	3.64	3.61	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	1.94	3.32	3.51	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)	3.36 ↓ (3.65)	3.54 (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense U23
47%

Draw
27.2%

Leiria U23
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

25.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

22%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Leiria U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense U23 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portimonense U23 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U23 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Portimonense U23 - Leiria U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Portimonense U23 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Portimonense U23 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leiria U23 has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Portimonense U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Portimonense U23 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portimonense U23 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Portimonense U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Leiria U23	7	2	2	3	7:8	-1	8
19	Portimonense U23	7	0	4	3	4:9	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
07.02.26	Portimonense U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Vizela U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
27.01.26	Portimonense U23 - Gil Vicente U23	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Estoril U23 - Portimonense U23	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Portimonense U23 - Maritimo U23	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW
- Leiria U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
24.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estoril U23	2:3 ✺
20.01.26	Maritimo U23 - Leiria U23	1:1 ✺
14.01.26	Leiria U23 - Estrela da Amadora U23	1:4 ✺
10.01.26	Gil Vicente U23 - Leiria U23	3:1 ✺
22.12.25	Leiria U23 - Sporting Lisbon U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.11.25	Leiria U23 - Portimonense U23	1:3
21.08.25	Portimonense U23 - Leiria U23	0:1

Portimonense U23 - Leiria U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide