The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 46%
Draw 26.9%
North Texas 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
26.4%
31.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
25.6%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Portland Timbers 2 - North Texas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Sulte H. (G) 16. Jura S. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 46. Velazquez V. 73. Izoita E. 39. Griffith C. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 37. Santos N. 88. Guerra G.
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 26. Starnes S. 12. Biggar J. 24. Torquato J. 20. Contreras J. 18. Ospina T. 19. Luccin M. 10. Nys E. 11. James N. 50. Garcia D.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 47. Cervantes D. 66. Cruthers C. 53. Ferguson C. 64. Izoita J. 91. Joseph S. (G) 90. Kissel M. 63. Nunez D. 34. Tommy C.
36. Baran D. 4. Charles I. 25. Gibson J. 14. Leandro 57. Montoya N. (G) 59. Salazar C. 23. Sedeh S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Biggar J. 🟨,
6', 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Lund N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Contreras J. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Guerra G. ⚽, Jura S. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Santos N. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Jura S. ↓, Tommy C. ↑,
63', Fernandez-Kim L. ↓, Cervantes D. ↑,
63', Griffith C. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
65', Bamford A. 🟨,
68', Luccin M. ↓, Salazar C. ↑,
68', Biggar J. ↓, Leandro ↑,
74', Santos N. ↓, Ferguson C. ↑,
75', Newman E. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
75', Ospina T. ↓, Charles I. ↑,
81', Contreras J. ↓, Baran D. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Nys E. ⚽,
87', Ondo C. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, Baran D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Guerra G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Salazar C. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Cervantes D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nys E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lund N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, James N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, Torquato J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Portland 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).