The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 42.3%
Draw 24.2%
Ventura County 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
25.5%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
24.4%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ventura County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Portland Timbers 2 - Ventura County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Sulte H. (G) 53. Ferguson C. 44. Bamford A. 61. Lund N. 94. Ondo C. 73. Izoita E. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 46. Enriquez V. (C) 39. Griffith C. 47. Cervantes D. 37. Santos N.
31. Scott B. (G) 88. Vanney M. 73. Martinez E. 64. Pepe 60. Hernandez S. (C) 90. Phan B. 47. Vilamitjana A. 45. Garcia V. 49. Vanney D. 95. Preston E. 57. Placias J.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 64. Izoita J. 91. Joseph S. (G) 90. Kissel M. 81. Mueller H.
93. Aina O. (G) 87. Arnold G. 61. Gozdieski C. 92. Luna I. 42. Rhodes J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', Preston E. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Ondo C. ⚽, Izoita E. (A),
12', Izoita E. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Garcia V. ⚽, Phan B. (A),
29', Hernandez S. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
45+2', Griffith C. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
45+3', Santos N. 🟨,
45+5', Barjolo B. 🟨,
45+6', 1 - 2, Vanney M. ⚽, Preston E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Placias J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 3, Preston E. ⚽, Garcia V. (A),
65', Enriquez V. ↓, Izoita J. ↑,
65', Ferguson C. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Lund N. ⚽, Izoita J. (A),
72', 3 - 3, Cervantes D. ⚽,
74', Vanney M. 🟨,
86', Phan B. ↓, Arnold G. ↑,
86', Preston E. ↓, Gozdieski C. ↑,
90', Arnold G. 🟨,
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Vanney M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Cervantes D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Pepe (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lund N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vanney D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Bamford A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Placias J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Izoita E. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Garcia V. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Fernandez-Kim L. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Vilamitjana A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Ondo C. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Luna I. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Kissel M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Portland 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.9:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Portland Timbers 2 - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Sulte H. (G) 
Ferguson C. 
Lund N. 
Ondo C. 
Griffith C. 
Cervantes D. 
Vilamitjana A. 
Arnold G. 
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