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Current Win Probability
Portland Timbers 2 41.1%
Draw 25.1%
San Jose Earthquakes 2 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
26.8%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
27.3%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portland Timbers 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Portland Timbers 2's performance.
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Jose Earthquakes 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portland Timbers 2 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Portland Timbers 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Jose Earthquakes 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Portland Timbers 2 - San Jose Earthquakes 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
91. Joseph S. (G) 57. VanVoorhis B. 61. Lund N. 44. Bamford A. 94. Ondo C. 73. Izoita E. 46. Enriquez V. 81. Mueller H. 35. Fernandez-Kim L. 47. Cervantes D. 63. Nunez D.
91. Lambe C. (G) 73. Heisner J. 71. Dossmann N. 66. Cano A. 74. Kwende M. 35. Rajagopal R. 38. Mendoza E. 99. de Flores S. 90. Bohane Z. 70. Allen T. 29. Spivey K.
Substitutes
77. Barjolo B. 66. Cruthers C. 53. Ferguson C. 64. Izoita J. 90. Kissel M. 78. Nystrom M. 55. Tamblyn K. (G) 34. Tommy C. 48. Zendejas N.
88. Baptista D. 97. Boyce W. 58. Bracken Serra G. 52. Donnery J. 92. Gomez M. (G) 98. Ling A. 77. Spivey J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Fernandez-Kim L. ⚽, Nunez D. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Bohane Z. ⚽,
42', Lund N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Izoita E. ⚽, Fernandez-Kim L. (A),
54', 2 - 2, Heisner J. ⚽, Kwende M. (A),
56', Mueller H. ↓, Barjolo B. ↑,
56', Cervantes D. ↓, Kissel M. ↑,
59', Mendoza E. 🟨,
64', 2 - 3, Heisner J. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
65', Mendoza E. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
66', Kwende M. ↓, Baptista D. ↑,
73', Barjolo B. 🟨,
76', de Flores S. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
76', Spivey K. ↓, Spivey J. ↑,
82', VanVoorhis B. ↓, Tommy C. ↑,
84', Enriquez V. 🟨,
90', Heisner J. ↓, Ling A. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Portland 2 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Portland 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).