Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Porto B		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.25	3.4
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.07	3.2	3.5
	2.11	3.35	3.83
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.38	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.24)	3.27 ↑ (3)	3.55 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto B
45.4%

Draw
28.4%

Varzim
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

30.7%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

20.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varzim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Porto B - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches Porto B is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Varzim is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Porto B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Porto B will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Porto B won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Porto B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.21	Estrela da Amadora - Porto B	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Porto B - Farense	0:0 ✺
03.10.21	Porto B - Rio Ave	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Chaves - Porto B	4:2 ✺
12.09.21	Porto B - Mafra	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTTLW
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 2
31.10.21	Varzim - Vilafranquense	0:2 ✺
27.10.21	Varzim - Benfica B	0:2 ✺
22.10.21	Académico de Viseu - Varzim	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Varzim - Marítimo	3:2 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.10.21	Feirense - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
31.01.21	Porto B - Varzim	0:1
13.09.20	Varzim - Porto B	1:0
02.02.20	Varzim - Porto B	0:2
18.08.19	Porto B - Varzim	1:1
23.04.19	Porto B - Varzim	0:1
21.10.18	Varzim - Porto B	2:1
04.04.18	Varzim - Porto B	3:1

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