Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV7


	Chaves		Porto B

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.55	4.85
	1.59	3.96	6.07
	1.77	3.55	4.20	Watch
	1.69	3.64	4.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.77)	3.64 ↑ (3.55)	5.05 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
56.1%

Draw
25.5%

Porto B
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

26%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25.4%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Porto B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chaves - Porto B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vozinha (G) 4. Bruno Rodrigues 34. Alves R. 22. Muscat Z. 15. Carraca (C) 20. Ktatau 8. Pinho P. 5. Kiko 21. Wellington Carvalho 17. Roberto 77. Reinaldo	24. Costa J. (C) 46. Pedro Lima 44. Felipe Silva 73. Bras G. 80. Henrique Kaio 56. Kaue Rodrigues 88. Andrade D. 8. Teixeira J. 75. Karamoh Y. 79. Vonic L. 87. Caicedo B.
Substitutes
23. Gudzulic M. (G) 97. Joao Teixeira 30. Kusso D. 9. Milovanovic U. 18. Pereira H. 26. Rodrigues G. 33. Simoes T. 19. Tiago Almeida 29. Tounkara M.	51. Fernandes D. (G) 64. Gomes L. 43. Melnichenko T. 72. Miranda A. 50. Nagata K. 54. Ribeiro A. 76. Rodrigues D. 58. Silva T. 49. Sousa G.
Coaches
Martins F.	Brandao J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', Alves R. 🟨,
41', 0 - 1, Andrade D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Reinaldo 🟨,
54', Pinho P. 🟨,
57', Karamoh Y. 🟨,
60', Kiko ↓, Kusso D. ↑,
60', Pinho P. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
61', Karamoh Y. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
67', Muscat Z. ↓, Milovanovic U. ↑,
67', Reinaldo ↓, Tiago Almeida ↑,
70', Sousa G. 🟨,
72', Kusso D. 🟨,
72', Teixeira J. ↓, Silva T. ↑,
72', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
79', Alves R. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
90', Caicedo B. 🟨,
90', Caicedo B. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
90+5', Wellington Carvalho 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 3.

In recent matches, Chaves has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Porto B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chaves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chaves is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chaves won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Chaves won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
03.11.25	Leiria - Chaves	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Académico de Viseu - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.10.25	Chaves - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Chaves - Vizela	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Farense - Chaves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2
29.10.25	Oliveirense - Porto B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Porto B - Marítimo	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Porto B - Torreense	2:3 ✺
29.09.25	Paços de Ferreira - Porto B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Porto B - Leiria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
19.04.25	Porto B - Chaves	1:2
08.12.24	Chaves - Porto B	2:1
20.02.22	Porto B - Chaves	0:0
19.09.21	Chaves - Porto B	4:2
14.03.21	Chaves - Porto B	1:1
24.10.20	Porto B - Chaves	1:2
13.12.19	Porto B - Chaves	1:1

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