Match Info

Baiano - Round 5

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Agnaldo Bento dos Santos (Porto Seguro)


	Porto SC		Barcelona de Ilhéus

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.98	3.85
	1.93	2.92	4.41
	2.05	2.9	3.82
	1.95	3	3.8
	2	3.14	3.98
	2	3	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.77)	2.99 ↓ (3.19)	4.03 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto SC
46.3%

Draw
30.8%

Barcelona de Ilhéus
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

28.8%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto SC's performance.

Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona de Ilhéus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Cabral (G) 7. Bruno Ferreira 9. Diki 4. Everton Dias 2. Gabriel Saulo 11. Italo 10. Luan Rodrigues (C) 8. Pedro Lima 6. Peu 3. Taison 5. Ygor	1. Pedro Antonio (G) 4. Bremer 6. Elivelton 73. Gianlucas 5. Guimaraes 55. Hebert 2. Jeferson Neves 11. Kaique 99. Neto 88. Rhuan 3. Vital (C)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Gianlucas ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Rhuan (Own goal),
84', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Porto will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Porto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Porto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Porto SC Porto Seguro
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.01.26	Bahia de Feira - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Porto SC - Vitória Salvador	1:1 ✺
15.01.26	Jequié - Porto SC	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Porto SC - Jacuipense	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 TTTWW
- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
20.01.26	Bahia - Barcelona de Ilhéus	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Galícia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Penedense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.02.25	Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus	2:1

Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide